NWS: Numerous Severe Storms Through Tonight

Storm clouds form this afternoon over downtown Los Alamos. Photo by Carol A. Clark/ladailypost.com
 
Hail pummels downtown Los Alamos this afternoon. Photo by Carol A. Clark/ladailypost.com
 

National Weather Service News:

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque reports scattered to numerous severe thunderstorms throughout most of central and eastern New Mexico and the entire !-25 corridor from Socorro to Albuquerque to Raton as well as the I-40 corridor in eastern New Mexico.

 

Timing – Continental Divide to Rio Grande Valley (RGV): Early afternoon through early evening with the most critical period generally 2-7 p.m. East of RGV to NM/TX line: Mid-afternoon through early Monday morning with the most critical period generally 3-11 p.m.

Location – Storms initiating over high terrain near the Continental Divide and along/just east of the Central Mountain chain through early afternoon, spreading to the Rio Grande valley, central high plains, northeast highlands and eastern plains beginning 3-4 p.m.

 

Of particular concern will be areas of central, northeast and east-central NM to include the entire I-25 corridor from Socorro to Albuquerque to the Raton area as well as the I-40 corridor in eastern New Mexico.​

 

Key Thunderstorm Impacts:

  • Large, damaging hail generally quarter to golfball sized; isolated larger hail possible with most intense storms
  • Downburst winds of 50 to 70 mph.
  • One or two tornadoes cannot be ruled out, especially the NE highlands and central high plains region
  • Heavy downpours with widespread 1 to 3 inch rainfall totals across portions of the eastern plains.

 

Overview:

Strong directional wind shear characterized by low level southeast winds topped by moderately strong northwest winds aloft remains in place across much of central and eastern New Mexico. Combined with a very moist and increasingly unstable air mass, this vertical wind shear will support scattered to numerous severe thunderstorms as they slowly track generally toward the southeast off the higher terrain. A few supercell thunderstorms characterized by intense, rotating updrafts will be possible especially across the central high plains and northeast highlands. Thunderstorms will likely congeal into one or more large complexes across the eastern plains by late evening and persist into the overnight hours.
 

Confidence:

High confidence on development of strong to severe storms over and near the high terrain today with a steady expansion of severe weather threats along and east of the Rio Grande. Lower confidence exists with regard to the development and placement of the most intense supercell storms east of the central mountain chain this afternoon and evening.
 

For More Info:

As always, visit www.weather.gov/abq or http://mobile.weather.gov for more detailed information for specific areas along with additional updates. Direct questions concerning this event to 1.888.386.7637 24×7 or via NWSChat.

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