The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a weather alert through late tonight.
- Type – Heavy rainfall and potential flash flooding.
- Timing – Late this morning through late tonight.
- Location – Central and western New Mexico. Areas along the Continental Divide and the central mountain chain will be favored for heavy rainfall.
- Stronger storms will produce heavy downpours with rain at rates near 1.5 inches per hour
- An overall drier period the past couple weeks will help mitigate the chances for serious flash flooding, however the potential still exists in areas with repeated heavy rainfall
- The potential for flash flooding will be most elevated in urban drainages and near wildfire burn scar areas
- Models forecast storms to merge and stall within the Rio Grande Valley this evening before dissipating early Wednesday morning
- Stronger storms will also have the potential to produce locally strong wind gusts near 55 mph
A deep upper level trough tracking slowly eastward toward northern NM will interact with a deep tap of monsoon moisture over the state. Strong forcing for vertical ascent will result in widespread showers and thunderstorms, many with heavy rain.
Moderate confidence in 3 or more flash flooding events through late tonight.
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