COVID-19 Growth Curves For March 29, 2020

This figure shows the recent growth in the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases for several US states, using data through Sunday 29 March. Dashed lines show exponential growth curves, labeled by doubling time in days. Several states (for example, California) may be seeing a slight reduction in their exponential growth rates, as recent data points seem to be dropping below the dashed lines showing their growth over the past two weeks. But Florida is on pace to overtake California soon. The growth in New York has moderated to a 4-day doubling time; its earlier rapid growth with 1.4-day doubling may have been an effect of rapid expansion in testing, rather than actual spread of the disease. Data are from several sources: from state reports (for New Mexico and Colorado), from https://ncov2019.live/data, from the Johns Hopkins U. GitHub repository https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19, and from https://github.com/COVID19Tracking/covid-tracking-data. Created by Nels Hoffman

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